noreply@blogger.com Scott Grannis

M2 still points to lower inflation

The Fed recently released the March money supply numbers, and the story hasn't changed. M2…

GDP update: moderate growth and disinflation continue

Markets have over-reacted to today's first quarter GDP stats. Quarterly numbers are by nature volatile;…

Belated March CPI analysis

I've only recently returned from several weeks in Argentina. I didn't have access to my…

MAGA down south

Before you read this post, please first read this post from 18 months ago. We…

Moderate growth and disinflation still alive and well

A quick update to focus on some market-moving stats released today.Chart #1Chart #1 shows the…

M2 update—still looking good

Today the Fed released the February money supply data, and there were no unwelcome surprises.…

U.S. energy efficiency has soared

Since 1970, U.S. consumption of crude oil and petroleum products has increased by only 38%,…

Financial Conditions look excellent

Here’s a very short post to highlight the excellent shape of today’s financial conditions. At…

COVID lessons learned

Our COVID national nightmare began just four years ago, so now is a fitting moment…

Inflation is NOT running hot

Don't jump to conclusions based on one month's number.The Final Demand version of the Producer…